Table 2

Predicted impact of pandemic influenza on the population of active and registered primary care medical practitioners using "more severe" scenario assumptions and based on modelling with FluAid (n = 3074 doctors)

Week of pandemic in NZ

Deaths (No.)

Hospital-isations (No.)

Illness (No.)^a

Lost workdays from deaths (No.)^a

Lost workdays from hospitalisations (No.)

Lost workdays from illness (No.)^a

Lost workdays from caring for others

Total lost workdays (No.)

Reduction in days worked (%)^a

1

0.2

1

64

1

13

184

88

285

1.9%

2

0.4

3

161

3

32

459

220

713

4.6%

3

0.8

6

321

7

64

918

439

1428

9.3%

4

0.4

3

161

9

32

459

220

719

4.7%

5

0.2

1

64

10

13

184

88

294

1.9%

6

0.1

1

32

10

6

92

44

152

1.0%

Total*

2

14

803

39

160

2294

1098

3591

2.9%

^aSee footnotes for Table 1.

Wilson et al. Human Resources for Health 2005 3:7   doi:10.1186/1478-4491-3-7